Columns

You can add more columns

You can slide them into place in any order

If the Buttons are black then they are enabled

Logic of Signals and Outputs

In order to fully understand and utilize the Stock Odds database the integral components are Signals and Outputs

Signal
You first have to choose a Signal

Signals include
Moves, MFI, Tec Patterns, VIX FIX, %B, CCI, RSI, Momentum, %R, Stochastics

Output

You then choose Output

Different Timeframes for Output

• Close to Close (CC)
• Close to Open(CO)
• Close to Close (3day, 5day or 10day)

Time Frames & Look-Back Periods

FIRST set your Timeframe. Choices are: Daily, Weekly, Monthly

If you choose weekly then the look- back number is in weeks

Then You Can Choose a Look-Back Period

Daily =
500, 1000, 1500 or 2000 days
Weekly =
100, 200, 300, or 400 weeks
Monthly =
25, 50, 75, or 100 months

5 Bin Approach

Bins can be used on any SIGNAL. SImply put, it's a way of dividing data statistically. It can be very helpful to peer into the results of a particular bin and then view the odds of the OUTPUT from that bin.

Bin Timeframe Selection Then Output

We have the choice of quantity of days for our Bin output on CC.

We can see AAPL placed into the BIN of 0.50 - 0.75. It's performance for the last update date chosen of 8/9/2017 was 0.6122 which is in the middle of that BIN.

We can drill down on AAPL and see each of the 137 events that have occurred.

We can export that drill down as a CSV file.

Overlaying Probability Sets

We set up a screen for streaks and find AAPL has a SIGNAL of 4 directional moves up.

We can see AAPL placed into the BIN of 0.50 - 0.75. It's performance for the last update date chosen of 8/9/2017 was 0.6122 which is in the middle of that BIN.

Now we can compare the Performance BIN Odds of AAPL with Streak Odds of AAPL givins us the opportunity to compound strategies or "line-up the ducks".

We can drill down on the 70 streak events and download them as a CSV file also.

Setting Up a Screen for Streaks Our Intention - Mean Reverting

You Can Choose to View Long & Short (Split)

Our Screen Results

You Can Drill Down to See All Previous Events

Just click on the square next to the
symbol to drill down.

This lets you see at a glance any
anomalies.

You can also get confidence in the
average or median value.

You Can Sort By Column

CMO Chart

Looking at the previous slide of our sorted results, we see a streak down of 5 days in a row.

Streaks start after a day with a zero value.

A zero value is a day with a close in the opposite direction.

The streak starts after that zero day with a 1 or -1.

The streak continues with ones or minus ones until a close in the opposite direction.

The probability of an up day is at 66.7% with a positive Sharpe ratio of 0.1946.

Full View Screen and Results

Just click on the square next to the symbol to drill down.

This lets you see at a glance any anomalies.

You can also get confidence in the average or median value.